Italy will begin their UEFA Nations League 2022-23 campaign with a home game against Germany in the early hours of Sunday, June 5 at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. The match will kick off at 12:15 AM IST (Indian Standard Time).
Now that Giorgio Chiellini's time with the Azzurri is over, Roberto Mancini is most likely to bring Alessandro Bastnoni in the starting XI. On top of that, the team is still sweating over the fitness of the likes of Ciro Immobile, Federico Chiesa, Domenico Berardi, Marco Verratti and Roma's Nicolo Zaniolo.
Of the aforementioned players, only Verratti is expected to return in time.
For Germany, Marc-Andre ter Stegen and Julian Draxler are not involved in the match, meaning that Manuel Neuer will start between the sticks.
Italy vs Germany odds for UEFA Nations League 2022/23
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Note: Odds are subject to change.
Italy vs Germany recent form
Italy come into the match fresh off from their CONMEBOL-UEFA Cup of Champions defeat against Argentina. Though the loss can be attributed to most of their first-team regulars missing the game through injury, the Azzurri have really struggled for form on the international stage in the recent past. Overall, they have won just one of their last five matches.
Germany, on the other hand, have been an absolute goal machine, having scored a whopping 20 goals in their last five appearances. Barring their 1-1 draw against the Netherlands, they haven’t lost a game since being knocked out of the round of 16 of the UEFA Euro 2020.
Italy: L, W, L, D, D
Germany, D, W, W, W, W
Italy vs Germany head-to-head
Since their first meeting in 1923, Italy and Germany have played each other just 35 times. The Italian team has won 15 of these head-to-head meetings while losing just nine. As many as 11 games have been drawn.
While Italy do have a better head-to-head count, it’s important to note that Germany have won two of their last five meetings while Italy have won just once.
Last five meetings
Italy 0-0 Germany (2016)
Germany 6-5 Italy (on penalties in 2016)
Germany 4-1 Italy (2016)
Italy 1-1 Germany (2013)
Germany 1-2 Italy (2012)
Italy vs Germany prediction and football betting tips for UEFA Nations League 2022-23
Given Italy’s recent run of form, coupled with the injuries they are nursing at the moment, it comes as no surprise that Germany are the odds-on favourites for the upcoming match. Hansi Flick’s men have been vicious in front of goal in recent times and have enough firepower to trouble the Italian defence, which has been uncharacteristically lackluster of late, on Sunday.
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Featured photo: AFP / Guiseppe Cacace